WEALTH
Capital consequences before capital movement.
WEALTH is the capital-evidence organ of the arifOS federation. It models how capital decisions propagate through liquidity, risk, productivity, time, leverage, macro conditions, incentives, governance and path dependence.
If capital moves this way, what follows, and how sure are we?
WEALTH computes evidence. arifOS judges authority. A-FORGE executes approved actions. Humans remain sovereign.
Capital consequence infrastructure, not investment advice.
Current Verified State · Ω Architecture · Examples · Data Provenance · Research Roadmap
What WEALTH helps examine
- Capital position — what assets, liabilities, reserves and obligations exist? (Ω01)
- Capital movement — where is liquidity moving, and what changes runway or fragility? (Ω02, Ω07)
- Capital productivity — what output is produced per unit of capital and time? (Ω05)
- Capital environment — which macro conditions, incentives and constraints shape the outcome? (Ω08, Ω10, Ω11)
- Capital memory — how do refinancing, exceptions, governance failures and previous decisions constrain the future? (Ω12)
WEALTH : WorldState → CapitalConsequences (not WorldState → InvestmentDecision)
Capital has memory
Two institutions can show the same balance sheet today and carry different future risk. One may have repeatedly refinanced, normalised exceptions or weakened governance. The other may have preserved reserves, commitments and institutional trust.
Current state ≠ Complete state
Capital reality = Present state + Path dependence
WEALTH records not only what exists now, but how the system arrived here (Ω12, wealth_hysteresis_ledger).
Governed use vs engineering use
Governed use. Connect to arifOS. The kernel delegates bounded capital-analysis work to WEALTH and receives an advisory evidence envelope. This is the recommended path.
Engineering use. The direct WEALTH connector (:18082) is intended for diagnostics, conformance testing and local development. Direct access does not grant execution authority — it simply bypasses the recommended authority entry path.
World state → WEALTH models capital consequences → arifOS evaluates authority → Human decides
Advisory output, never a verdict
{
"domain_assessment": "CAUTION",
"execution_authority": "ADVISORY_ONLY",
"handoff": "arifOS.arif_judge",
"constitutional_verdicts_issued": []
}
WEALTH assessments are domain evidence. They are not SEAL, HOLD, SABAR or VOID. Only arifOS issues constitutional verdicts.
Every market observation needs a clock
A market or macro observation carries: source · observation timestamp · retrieval timestamp · cache age · staleness classification · known data limitations (LIVE | RECENT | STALE | ARCHIVAL).
Freshness is not truth. Latest available is not real time.
Current verified state
Observed at: 2026-10-30T17:35Z (live probe :18082/health)
| Check | Result |
|---|
| Service | healthy · runtime seal state SEALED · working tree CLEAN · commit cd10ae6 |
| Authority ceiling | COMPUTE_ONLY — no constitutional verdict capability |
| Canonical primitives observed | 13 (Ω00 + Ω01–Ω12) + 2 societal extensions + 2 infrastructure |
| Live tool count | 15 (tools/list, session-verified OBS 2026-10-30) vs 17 declared visible surface — gap −2, live below declared post-consolidation |
| Freshness metadata coverage | required by contract on market/macro outputs; coverage not independently measured |
arifOS handoff (wealth_judge_handoff) | unmeasured today (session-gated MUTATE tool) |
| Forecast calibration | NOT YET PUBLISHED |
| Historical replay benchmark | NOT YET PUBLISHED |
Dynamic state is generated by probe. If this section conflicts with the live endpoint, the endpoint wins.
The Ω architecture
Twelve invariants, one synthesis primitive. Ω00 (wealth_synthesize) is a synthesis roll-up, not a thirteenth domain invariant; Ω01–Ω12 are the twelve capital-consequence invariants (Mass · Flow · Gradient · Entropy · Energy · Time · Inertia · Field · Signal · Game · Boundary · Hysteresis).
The Ω invariants are the fundamentals. NPV, RSI, MACD, Bollinger, PSAR, ATR, ADX, backtest and entry planning are market-microstructure implementations underneath Ω08 (Field) and Ω09 (Signal) — not the identity.
Full Ω00–Ω12 table, capability-surface arithmetic and the L11 AUTH gate: docs/OMEGA_ARCHITECTURE.md.
Capability surface
- 13 canonical primitives · 2 societal extensions · 2 infrastructure capabilities
- 14 legacy aliases (
capital_*) — excluded from the canonical count
Canonical visible surface: 17 (declared) · live tools/list reports 15 (2026-10-30).
Research roadmap (NOT current performance claims)
Two research programmes are planned, not demonstrated:
- CHRON-linked forecast calibration — predict → record → verify → recalibrate. No calibration has been published; no predictive superiority is claimed.
- Historical-collapse replay — pre-cutoff evidence only, with a recorded source allowlist, contamination tests and negative controls. The stronger phrase "cryptographic exclusion" is reserved for when a real commitment/hash/signature mechanism exists — it does not yet.
Details and the dated P1 checklist: docs/RESEARCH_ROADMAP.md.
Quick start
git clone https://github.com/ariffazil/WEALTH.git
cd WEALTH
# governed path: connect an MCP client to https://mcp.arif-fazil.com/mcp (arifOS delegates to WEALTH)
# engineering path: run the organ locally, then:
curl -s http://localhost:18082/health | jq '{status, tools_loaded, working_tree}'
OBSERVE-class tools pass without a session; MUTATE tools (capital_ledger, wealth_judge_handoff) require a verified session (details).
Current limits
- No published forecast calibration, no external benchmark, no demonstrated predictive superiority.
- Declared-vs-live tool-count drift (17 vs 18) open.
- Freshness metadata is contractually mandatory; coverage compliance is not independently measured.
- Single sovereign, single reviewer; no succession procedure published.
Documentation
Ω Architecture · Research roadmap · Boundary · docs/
Security · License
SECURITY.md · AGPL-3.0 (LICENSE).
WEALTH — Capital Consequence Intelligence.
It does not decide where money should go.
It makes the consequences of moving it harder to hide.
DITEMPA BUKAN DIBERI.
🔗 Federation Identity
